driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.654
- brier
- 0.224
- ECE
- 0.226
- field avg
- 53%
- spread
- 81
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
93%grid 4 - 02
RUS
Mercedes
93%grid 2 - 03
NOR
McLaren
90%grid 3 - 04
LEC
Ferrari
90%grid 6 - 05
PIA
McLaren
89%grid 1 - 06
HAM
Ferrari
86%grid 5 - 07
ANT
Mercedes
82%grid 8 - 08
SAI
Williams
58%grid 15 - 09
ALB
Williams
55%grid 10 - 10
TSU
Racing Bulls
42%grid 9 - 11
HAD
Racing Bulls
42%grid 7 - 12
ALO
Aston Martin
36%grid 13 - 13
HUL
Kick Sauber
33%grid 12 - 14
GAS
Alpine
32%grid 16 - 15
OCO
Haas F1 Team
31%grid 11 - 16
LAW
Red Bull Racing
28%grid 20 - 17
STR
Aston Martin
25%grid 14 - 18
BEA
Haas F1 Team
18%grid 17 - 19
DOO
Alpine
15%grid 18 - 20
BOR
Kick Sauber
13%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
93%
- grid position+0.91
- driver form (last 5)+0.62
- team form+0.47
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 93.3%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 89.6%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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