driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.400
- brier
- 0.128
- ECE
- 0.186
- field avg
- 58%
- spread
- 86
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
96%grid 3 - 02
NOR
McLaren
95%grid 2 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
90%grid 5 - 04
LEC
Ferrari
88%grid 4 - 05
VER
Red Bull Racing
88%grid 1 - 06
HAM
Ferrari
82%grid 10 - 07
ANT
Mercedes
80%grid 6 - 08
BOR
Kick Sauber
72%grid 7 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
69%grid 8 - 10
TSU
Red Bull Racing
64%grid 9 - 11
ALB
Williams
57%grid 14 - 12
BEA
Haas F1 Team
51%grid 11 - 13
SAI
Williams
45%grid 13 - 14
HUL
Kick Sauber
39%grid 12 - 15
HAD
Racing Bulls
35%grid 19 - 16
LAW
Racing Bulls
31%grid 18 - 17
STR
Aston Martin
26%grid 16 - 18
OCO
Haas F1 Team
25%grid 15 - 19
GAS
Alpine
11%grid 20 - 20
COL
Alpine
9%grid 17
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
96%
- grid position+0.95
- team form+0.71
- driver form (last 5)+0.65
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 95.6%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 95.5%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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