driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 1.063
- brier
- 0.367
- ECE
- 0.386
- field avg
- 54%
- spread
- 88
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
95%grid 1 - 02
NOR
McLaren
94%grid 2 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
88%grid 6 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
87%grid 5 - 05
HAM
Ferrari
86%grid 7 - 06
VER
Red Bull Racing
85%grid 3 - 07
ALO
Aston Martin
75%grid 10 - 08
SAI
Williams
65%grid 9 - 09
LAW
Racing Bulls
63%grid 8 - 10
HAD
Racing Bulls
61%grid 4 - 11
ANT
Mercedes
50%grid 11 - 12
GAS
Alpine
40%grid 14 - 13
BOR
Kick Sauber
39%grid 13 - 14
HUL
Kick Sauber
36%grid 17 - 15
ALB
Williams
34%grid 15 - 16
STR
Aston Martin
31%grid 19 - 17
TSU
Red Bull Racing
28%grid 12 - 18
COL
Alpine
15%grid 16 - 19
OCO
Haas F1 Team
8%grid 18 - 20
BEA
Haas F1 Team
7%grid 20
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
95%
- grid position+0.88
- team form+0.67
- driver form (last 5)+0.66
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 94.6%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 94.5%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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