driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.283
- brier
- 0.077
- ECE
- 0.155
- field avg
- 50%
- spread
- 87
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
92%grid 3 - 02
NOR
McLaren
89%grid 1 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
85%grid 4 - 04
VER
Red Bull Racing
84%grid 2 - 05
PER
Red Bull Racing
82%grid 5 - 06
LEC
Ferrari
81%grid 6 - 07
ALO
Aston Martin
77%grid 7 - 08
SAI
Ferrari
77%grid 10 - 09
HAM
Mercedes
74%grid 14 - 10
STR
Aston Martin
64%grid 8 - 11
TSU
RB
40%grid 11 - 12
HUL
Haas F1 Team
34%grid 12 - 13
GAS
Alpine
34%grid 9 - 14
RIC
RB
21%grid 13 - 15
OCO
Alpine
13%grid 15 - 16
MAG
Haas F1 Team
12%grid 20 - 17
ALB
Williams
11%grid 19 - 18
BOT
Kick Sauber
9%grid 16 - 19
ZHO
Kick Sauber
8%grid 17 - 20
SAR
Williams
5%grid 18
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
92%
- grid position+0.95
- team form+0.64
- driver form (last 5)+0.61
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 91.8%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 90.5%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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