driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.260
- brier
- 0.064
- ECE
- 0.217
- field avg
- 50%
- spread
- 84
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
90%grid 2 - 02
NOR
McLaren
90%grid 1 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
87%grid 5 - 04
SAI
Ferrari
87%grid 6 - 05
HAM
Mercedes
87%grid 3 - 06
RUS
Mercedes
79%grid 4 - 07
PIA
McLaren
75%grid 9 - 08
PER
Red Bull Racing
74%grid 11 - 09
GAS
Alpine
65%grid 7 - 10
OCO
Alpine
53%grid 8 - 11
ALO
Aston Martin
50%grid 10 - 12
STR
Aston Martin
45%grid 14 - 13
TSU
RB
25%grid 17 - 14
RIC
RB
23%grid 18 - 15
BOT
Kick Sauber
23%grid 12 - 16
HUL
Haas F1 Team
15%grid 13 - 17
ZHO
Kick Sauber
14%grid 15 - 18
MAG
Haas F1 Team
9%grid 16 - 19
SAR
Williams
9%grid 19 - 20
ALB
Williams
7%grid 20
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
90%
- grid position+0.91
- driver form (last 5)+0.60
- team form+0.35
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 90.4%.
Strongest team average: Ferrari 87.1%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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