driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.555
- brier
- 0.187
- ECE
- 0.197
- field avg
- 50%
- spread
- 80
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
91%grid 1 - 02
PIA
McLaren
91%grid 5 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
89%grid 4 - 04
VER
Red Bull Racing
86%grid 2 - 05
SAI
Ferrari
85%grid 3 - 06
ALO
Aston Martin
70%grid 7 - 07
PER
Red Bull Racing
68%grid 9 - 08
HAM
Mercedes
61%grid 17 - 09
RUS
Mercedes
57%grid 20 - 10
MAG
Haas F1 Team
46%grid 8 - 11
GAS
Alpine
44%grid 6 - 12
HUL
Haas F1 Team
39%grid 11 - 13
ALB
Williams
37%grid 14 - 14
STR
Aston Martin
35%grid 13 - 15
TSU
RB
26%grid 10 - 16
COL
Williams
26%grid 15 - 17
OCO
Alpine
19%grid 12 - 18
BOT
Kick Sauber
13%grid 16 - 19
ZHO
Kick Sauber
11%grid 18 - 20
LAW
RB
11%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
91%
- grid position+0.83
- team form+0.77
- driver form (last 5)+0.65
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 91.2%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 91.2%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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