§ Round 24 · 2024
Abu Dhabi Grand Prix.
2024-12-08 · 20 drivers · held-out evaluation
driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.357
- brier
- 0.103
- ECE
- 0.192
- field avg
- 55%
- spread
- 84
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
91%grid 4 - 02
NOR
McLaren
89%grid 1 - 03
SAI
Ferrari
87%grid 3 - 04
PIA
McLaren
87%grid 2 - 05
RUS
Mercedes
85%grid 6 - 06
GAS
Alpine
79%grid 5 - 07
LEC
Ferrari
72%grid 19 - 08
HUL
Haas F1 Team
70%grid 7 - 09
PER
Red Bull Racing
64%grid 10 - 10
HAM
Mercedes
60%grid 16 - 11
TSU
RB
53%grid 11 - 12
ALO
Aston Martin
50%grid 8 - 13
BOT
Kick Sauber
38%grid 9 - 14
LAW
RB
37%grid 12 - 15
DOO
Alpine
36%grid 17 - 16
MAG
Haas F1 Team
33%grid 14 - 17
STR
Aston Martin
33%grid 13 - 18
ZHO
Kick Sauber
21%grid 15 - 19
ALB
Williams
11%grid 18 - 20
COL
Williams
7%grid 20
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
91%
- grid position+0.96
- driver form (last 5)+0.60
- team form+0.35
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 91.2%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 88.0%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver scores points (top 10)