driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.233
- brier
- 0.053
- ECE
- 0.157
- field avg
- 47%
- spread
- 86
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
90%grid 1 - 02
LEC
Ferrari
88%grid 3 - 03
SAI
Ferrari
84%grid 4 - 04
PER
Red Bull Racing
84%grid 11 - 05
RUS
Mercedes
83%grid 6 - 06
NOR
McLaren
83%grid 2 - 07
PIA
McLaren
80%grid 5 - 08
TSU
RB
74%grid 7 - 09
HAM
Mercedes
61%grid 8 - 10
STR
Aston Martin
45%grid 13 - 11
RIC
RB
40%grid 9 - 12
HUL
Haas F1 Team
22%grid 10 - 13
ALO
Aston Martin
22%grid 20 - 14
BOT
Kick Sauber
17%grid 16 - 15
OCO
Alpine
17%grid 12 - 16
ALB
Williams
14%grid 14 - 17
GAS
Alpine
13%grid 15 - 18
MAG
Haas F1 Team
10%grid 18 - 19
ZHO
Kick Sauber
8%grid 17 - 20
SAR
Williams
4%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
90%
- grid position+0.83
- team form+0.75
- driver form (last 5)+0.62
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 90.2%.
Strongest team average: Red Bull Racing 87.1%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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