driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.607
- brier
- 0.211
- ECE
- 0.229
- field avg
- 51%
- spread
- 59
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
81%grid 1 - 02
STR
Aston Martin
73%grid 13 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
71%grid 6 - 04
HUL
Haas F1 Team
69%grid 10 - 05
TSU
RB
67%grid 7 - 06
NOR
McLaren
67%grid 2 - 07
LEC
Ferrari
67%grid 3 - 08
ALB
Williams
64%grid 14 - 09
BOT
Kick Sauber
56%grid 16 - 10
GAS
Alpine
48%grid 15 - 11
ZHO
Kick Sauber
47%grid 17 - 12
SAI
Ferrari
45%grid 4 - 13
PIA
McLaren
45%grid 5 - 14
OCO
Alpine
43%grid 12 - 15
RIC
RB
42%grid 9 - 16
HAM
Mercedes
38%grid 8 - 17
SAR
Williams
32%grid 19 - 18
ALO
Aston Martin
28%grid 20 - 19
PER
Red Bull Racing
23%grid 11 - 20
MAG
Haas F1 Team
22%grid 18
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
81%
- vs teammate grid+0.89
- vs teammate quali+0.28
- driver form (last 5)+0.15
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 81.2%.
Strongest team average: Ferrari 55.9%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectHead-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race