driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.629
- brier
- 0.221
- ECE
- 0.113
- field avg
- 50%
- spread
- 57
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
83%grid 2 - 02
NOR
McLaren
79%grid 1 - 03
BOT
Kick Sauber
74%grid 12 - 04
LEC
Ferrari
61%grid 5 - 05
SAR
Williams
58%grid 19 - 06
HUL
Haas F1 Team
54%grid 13 - 07
TSU
RB
50%grid 17 - 08
HAM
Mercedes
50%grid 3 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
49%grid 10 - 10
ALB
Williams
49%grid 20 - 11
RUS
Mercedes
48%grid 4 - 12
SAI
Ferrari
48%grid 6 - 13
RIC
RB
47%grid 18 - 14
GAS
Alpine
43%grid 7 - 15
STR
Aston Martin
41%grid 14 - 16
OCO
Alpine
41%grid 8 - 17
MAG
Haas F1 Team
41%grid 16 - 18
ZHO
Kick Sauber
40%grid 15 - 19
PER
Red Bull Racing
27%grid 11 - 20
PIA
McLaren
26%grid 9
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
83%
- vs teammate grid+0.92
- vs teammate quali+0.27
- driver form (last 5)+0.19
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 82.7%.
Strongest team average: Kick Sauber 57.4%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectHead-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race