driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.540
- brier
- 0.179
- ECE
- 0.270
- field avg
- 49%
- spread
- 59
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
83%grid 4 - 02
SAI
Ferrari
75%grid 7 - 03
HUL
Haas F1 Team
74%grid 6 - 04
NOR
McLaren
69%grid 3 - 05
ZHO
Kick Sauber
68%grid 14 - 06
OCO
Alpine
67%grid 18 - 07
RUS
Mercedes
63%grid 1 - 08
TSU
RB
53%grid 13 - 09
ALB
Williams
50%grid 9 - 10
STR
Aston Martin
44%grid 8 - 11
HAM
Mercedes
42%grid 2 - 12
PIA
McLaren
38%grid 5 - 13
GAS
Alpine
38%grid 19 - 14
BOT
Kick Sauber
37%grid 16 - 15
ALO
Aston Martin
35%grid 10 - 16
RIC
RB
35%grid 15 - 17
SAR
Williams
33%grid 12 - 18
LEC
Ferrari
29%grid 11 - 19
PER
Red Bull Racing
24%grid 20 - 20
MAG
Haas F1 Team
24%grid 17
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
83%
- vs teammate grid+0.92
- vs teammate quali+0.34
- driver form (last 5)+0.18
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 83.0%.
Strongest team average: Red Bull Racing 53.7%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectHead-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race