driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.619
- brier
- 0.215
- ECE
- 0.079
- field avg
- 51%
- spread
- 47
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
72%grid 1 - 02
TSU
RB
67%grid 10 - 03
BOT
Kick Sauber
66%grid 16 - 04
STR
Aston Martin
66%grid 11 - 05
HUL
Haas F1 Team
65%grid 9 - 06
NOR
McLaren
65%grid 5 - 07
LEC
Ferrari
63%grid 2 - 08
HAM
Mercedes
56%grid 8 - 09
ALB
Williams
54%grid 14 - 10
GAS
Alpine
51%grid 12 - 11
SAI
Ferrari
50%grid 3 - 12
OCO
Alpine
50%grid 13 - 13
PIA
McLaren
48%grid 6 - 14
RUS
Mercedes
48%grid 7 - 15
SAR
Williams
41%grid 17 - 16
ZHO
Kick Sauber
40%grid 19 - 17
PER
Red Bull Racing
34%grid 4 - 18
ALO
Aston Martin
33%grid 15 - 19
RIC
RB
25%grid 20 - 20
MAG
Haas F1 Team
25%grid 18
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
72%
- vs teammate grid+0.53
- finish pattern+0.20
- vs teammate quali+0.11
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 72.2%.
Strongest team average: Ferrari 56.9%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectHead-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race