driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.376
- brier
- 0.116
- ECE
- 0.140
- field avg
- 50%
- spread
- 83
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
95%grid 1 - 02
PER
Red Bull Racing
92%grid 4 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
92%grid 2 - 04
SAI
Ferrari
91%grid 3 - 05
PIA
McLaren
83%grid 6 - 06
NOR
McLaren
82%grid 5 - 07
RUS
Mercedes
80%grid 7 - 08
ALO
Aston Martin
72%grid 15 - 09
HAM
Mercedes
56%grid 8 - 10
STR
Aston Martin
40%grid 11 - 11
TSU
RB
34%grid 10 - 12
GAS
Alpine
29%grid 12 - 13
HUL
Haas F1 Team
28%grid 9 - 14
BOT
Kick Sauber
27%grid 16 - 15
OCO
Alpine
24%grid 13 - 16
MAG
Haas F1 Team
21%grid 18 - 17
ALB
Williams
20%grid 14 - 18
RIC
RB
17%grid 20 - 19
SAR
Williams
14%grid 17 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
12%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
95%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.01
- team form+0.82
- driver form (last 5)+0.28
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 94.8%.
Strongest team average: Red Bull Racing 93.6%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)