driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.388
- brier
- 0.118
- ECE
- 0.137
- field avg
- 50%
- spread
- 78
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
94%grid 1 - 02
LEC
Ferrari
92%grid 6 - 03
PER
Red Bull Racing
91%grid 2 - 04
PIA
McLaren
85%grid 5 - 05
SAI
Ferrari
85%grid 7 - 06
NOR
McLaren
80%grid 4 - 07
RUS
Mercedes
73%grid 8 - 08
ALO
Aston Martin
69%grid 3 - 09
HAM
Mercedes
60%grid 18 - 10
TSU
RB
43%grid 19 - 11
STR
Aston Martin
37%grid 11 - 12
BOT
Kick Sauber
29%grid 10 - 13
GAS
Alpine
25%grid 15 - 14
HUL
Haas F1 Team
24%grid 9 - 15
RIC
RB
23%grid 12 - 16
OCO
Alpine
23%grid 13 - 17
MAG
Haas F1 Team
23%grid 17 - 18
ALB
Williams
21%grid 14 - 19
SAR
Williams
17%grid 20 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
15%grid 16
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
94%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.01
- team form+0.86
- driver form (last 5)+0.28
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 93.7%.
Strongest team average: Red Bull Racing 92.6%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)