driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.234
- brier
- 0.074
- ECE
- 0.126
- field avg
- 40%
- spread
- 99
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
99%grid 1 - 02
NOR
McLaren
96%grid 4 - 03
PER
Red Bull Racing
96%grid 2 - 04
LEC
Ferrari
96%grid 6 - 05
SAI
Ferrari
95%grid 7 - 06
ALO
Aston Martin
87%grid 3 - 07
HAM
Mercedes
85%grid 18 - 08
PIA
McLaren
68%grid 5 - 09
RUS
Mercedes
28%grid 8 - 10
BOT
Kick Sauber
18%grid 10 - 11
ZHO
Kick Sauber
13%grid 16 - 12
MAG
Haas F1 Team
7%grid 17 - 13
HUL
Haas F1 Team
5%grid 9 - 14
STR
Aston Martin
4%grid 11 - 15
RIC
RB
4%grid 12 - 16
OCO
Alpine
2%grid 13 - 17
GAS
Alpine
2%grid 15 - 18
TSU
RB
1%grid 19 - 19
ALB
Williams
1%grid 14 - 20
SAR
Williams
0%grid 20
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
99%
- driver form (last 5)+2.47
- sprint grid+2.33
- team form+0.68
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 99.2%.
Strongest team average: Red Bull Racing 97.5%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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