driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.154
- brier
- 0.045
- ECE
- 0.108
- field avg
- 38%
- spread
- 98
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
99%grid 3 - 02
RUS
Mercedes
99%grid 1 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
97%grid 5 - 04
VER
Red Bull Racing
95%grid 2 - 05
SAI
Ferrari
95%grid 7 - 06
PIA
McLaren
93%grid 4 - 07
HAM
Mercedes
74%grid 6 - 08
GAS
Alpine
41%grid 11 - 09
HUL
Haas F1 Team
22%grid 18 - 10
LAW
RB
12%grid 17 - 11
ALO
Aston Martin
11%grid 8 - 12
ALB
Williams
6%grid 16 - 13
BOT
Kick Sauber
5%grid 13 - 14
OCO
Alpine
3%grid 20 - 15
STR
Aston Martin
3%grid 15 - 16
MAG
Haas F1 Team
3%grid 10 - 17
TSU
RB
2%grid 14 - 18
PER
Red Bull Racing
1%grid 9 - 19
ZHO
Kick Sauber
1%grid 12 - 20
COL
Williams
0%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
99%
- sprint grid+3.40
- driver form (last 5)+1.50
- track history+0.23
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 98.9%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 96.0%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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