driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.475
- brier
- 0.157
- ECE
- 0.206
- field avg
- 49%
- spread
- 80
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
SAI
Ferrari
87%grid 7 - 02
LEC
Ferrari
86%grid 5 - 03
PIA
McLaren
85%grid 4 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
84%grid 1 - 05
VER
Red Bull Racing
84%grid 2 - 06
NOR
McLaren
82%grid 3 - 07
HAM
Mercedes
77%grid 6 - 08
PER
Red Bull Racing
61%grid 9 - 09
GAS
Alpine
58%grid 11 - 10
MAG
Haas F1 Team
42%grid 10 - 11
OCO
Alpine
41%grid 20 - 12
ALO
Aston Martin
36%grid 8 - 13
TSU
RB
33%grid 14 - 14
BOT
Kick Sauber
24%grid 13 - 15
ZHO
Kick Sauber
21%grid 12 - 16
HUL
Haas F1 Team
20%grid 18 - 17
LAW
RB
20%grid 17 - 18
STR
Aston Martin
17%grid 15 - 19
ALB
Williams
15%grid 16 - 20
COL
Williams
7%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
SAI
Ferrari
Probability
87%
- grid position+0.76
- driver form (last 5)+0.52
- team form+0.39
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on SAI (Ferrari) at 87.1%.
Strongest team average: Ferrari 86.7%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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