driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.498
- brier
- 0.162
- ECE
- 0.293
- field avg
- 49%
- spread
- 82
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
92%grid 2 - 02
LEC
Ferrari
89%grid 1 - 03
PER
Red Bull Racing
85%grid 4 - 04
SAI
Ferrari
82%grid 3 - 05
VER
Red Bull Racing
81%grid 6 - 06
RUS
Mercedes
80%grid 5 - 07
ALO
Aston Martin
74%grid 7 - 08
HAM
Mercedes
72%grid 19 - 09
NOR
McLaren
69%grid 15 - 10
BEA
Haas F1 Team
48%grid 10 - 11
ALB
Williams
32%grid 9 - 12
COL
Williams
31%grid 8 - 13
STR
Aston Martin
25%grid 13 - 14
HUL
Haas F1 Team
23%grid 12 - 15
RIC
RB
23%grid 14 - 16
TSU
RB
22%grid 11 - 17
GAS
Alpine
18%grid 18 - 18
BOT
Kick Sauber
14%grid 16 - 19
OCO
Alpine
14%grid 20 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
11%grid 17
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
92%
- grid position+0.95
- team form+0.70
- driver form (last 5)+0.62
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 92.4%.
Strongest team average: Ferrari 85.6%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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