driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.080
- brier
- 0.024
- ECE
- 0.061
- field avg
- 7%
- spread
- 62
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
63%grid 2 - 02
LEC
Ferrari
57%grid 1 - 03
NOR
McLaren
13%grid 15 - 04
SAI
Ferrari
5%grid 3 - 05
HAM
Mercedes
4%grid 19 - 06
VER
Red Bull Racing
2%grid 6 - 07
PER
Red Bull Racing
1%grid 4 - 08
RUS
Mercedes
1%grid 5 - 09
ZHO
Kick Sauber
0%grid 17 - 10
HUL
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 12 - 11
TSU
RB
0%grid 11 - 12
STR
Aston Martin
0%grid 13 - 13
ALB
Williams
0%grid 9 - 14
BOT
Kick Sauber
0%grid 16 - 15
OCO
Alpine
0%grid 20 - 16
RIC
RB
0%grid 14 - 17
GAS
Alpine
0%grid 18 - 18
COL
Williams
0%grid 8 - 19
ALO
Aston Martin
0%grid 7 - 20
BEA
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 10
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
63%
- driver form (last 5)+1.83
- grid position+1.52
- team form+1.06
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 62.6%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 37.6%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver WINS (1st place)