driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.048
- brier
- 0.009
- ECE
- 0.042
- field avg
- 7%
- spread
- 74
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
74%grid 1 - 02
NOR
McLaren
29%grid 2 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
17%grid 3 - 04
PER
Red Bull Racing
4%grid 11 - 05
SAI
Ferrari
3%grid 4 - 06
PIA
McLaren
2%grid 5 - 07
RUS
Mercedes
0%grid 6 - 08
RIC
RB
0%grid 9 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
0%grid 20 - 10
TSU
RB
0%grid 7 - 11
STR
Aston Martin
0%grid 13 - 12
ALB
Williams
0%grid 14 - 13
MAG
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 18 - 14
GAS
Alpine
0%grid 15 - 15
BOT
Kick Sauber
0%grid 16 - 16
OCO
Alpine
0%grid 12 - 17
ZHO
Kick Sauber
0%grid 17 - 18
SAR
Williams
0%grid 19 - 19
HAM
Mercedes
0%grid 8 - 20
HUL
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 10
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
74%
- grid position+2.15
- driver form (last 5)+1.52
- team form+0.91
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 73.8%.
Strongest team average: Red Bull Racing 38.8%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver WINS (1st place)