driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.113
- brier
- 0.026
- ECE
- 0.096
- field avg
- 17%
- spread
- 87
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
87%grid 1 - 02
NOR
McLaren
73%grid 2 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
64%grid 3 - 04
SAI
Ferrari
36%grid 4 - 05
PER
Red Bull Racing
29%grid 11 - 06
PIA
McLaren
25%grid 5 - 07
RUS
Mercedes
13%grid 6 - 08
TSU
RB
3%grid 7 - 09
HAM
Mercedes
2%grid 8 - 10
ALO
Aston Martin
2%grid 20 - 11
RIC
RB
1%grid 9 - 12
BOT
Kick Sauber
1%grid 16 - 13
OCO
Alpine
1%grid 12 - 14
ALB
Williams
1%grid 14 - 15
STR
Aston Martin
1%grid 13 - 16
GAS
Alpine
1%grid 15 - 17
HUL
Haas F1 Team
1%grid 10 - 18
SAR
Williams
1%grid 19 - 19
ZHO
Kick Sauber
1%grid 17 - 20
MAG
Haas F1 Team
1%grid 18
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
87%
- grid position+1.77
- team form+1.11
- driver form (last 5)+0.90
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 87.3%.
Strongest team average: Red Bull Racing 58.1%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver finishes on the podium (top 3)