driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.186
- brier
- 0.063
- ECE
- 0.131
- field avg
- 18%
- spread
- 81
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
82%grid 1 - 02
LEC
Ferrari
80%grid 2 - 03
PER
Red Bull Racing
62%grid 4 - 04
SAI
Ferrari
60%grid 3 - 05
NOR
McLaren
37%grid 5 - 06
PIA
McLaren
19%grid 6 - 07
RUS
Mercedes
5%grid 7 - 08
HAM
Mercedes
3%grid 8 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
2%grid 15 - 10
STR
Aston Martin
1%grid 11 - 11
GAS
Alpine
1%grid 12 - 12
TSU
RB
1%grid 10 - 13
HUL
Haas F1 Team
1%grid 9 - 14
SAR
Williams
1%grid 17 - 15
RIC
RB
1%grid 20 - 16
ALB
Williams
1%grid 14 - 17
MAG
Haas F1 Team
1%grid 18 - 18
ZHO
Kick Sauber
1%grid 19 - 19
BOT
Kick Sauber
1%grid 16 - 20
OCO
Alpine
1%grid 13
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
82%
- grid position+1.86
- team form+0.90
- driver form (last 5)+0.88
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 81.8%.
Strongest team average: Red Bull Racing 72.1%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver finishes on the podium (top 3)