driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.423
- brier
- 0.134
- ECE
- 0.036
- field avg
- 49%
- spread
- 82
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
LEC
Ferrari
88%grid 2 - 02
VER
Red Bull Racing
88%grid 1 - 03
SAI
Ferrari
86%grid 3 - 04
PER
Red Bull Racing
86%grid 4 - 05
PIA
McLaren
85%grid 6 - 06
NOR
McLaren
83%grid 5 - 07
RUS
Mercedes
83%grid 7 - 08
HAM
Mercedes
73%grid 8 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
59%grid 15 - 10
STR
Aston Martin
53%grid 11 - 11
HUL
Haas F1 Team
48%grid 9 - 12
TSU
RB
45%grid 10 - 13
OCO
Alpine
19%grid 13 - 14
MAG
Haas F1 Team
17%grid 18 - 15
RIC
RB
17%grid 20 - 16
GAS
Alpine
14%grid 12 - 17
ALB
Williams
12%grid 14 - 18
BOT
Kick Sauber
12%grid 16 - 19
SAR
Williams
8%grid 17 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
6%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
LEC
Ferrari
Probability
88%
- grid position+0.88
- driver form (last 5)+0.56
- team form+0.50
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on LEC (Ferrari) at 88.2%.
Strongest team average: Ferrari 87.1%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver scores points (top 10)