driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.401
- brier
- 0.127
- ECE
- 0.167
- field avg
- 49%
- spread
- 79
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
88%grid 3 - 02
HAM
Mercedes
87%grid 5 - 03
PIA
McLaren
86%grid 2 - 04
NOR
McLaren
86%grid 1 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
84%grid 6 - 06
SAI
Ferrari
83%grid 4 - 07
ALO
Aston Martin
74%grid 7 - 08
STR
Aston Martin
60%grid 8 - 09
RUS
Mercedes
57%grid 17 - 10
RIC
RB
50%grid 9 - 11
HUL
Haas F1 Team
48%grid 11 - 12
PER
Red Bull Racing
40%grid 16 - 13
TSU
RB
29%grid 10 - 14
MAG
Haas F1 Team
25%grid 15 - 15
BOT
Kick Sauber
18%grid 12 - 16
SAR
Williams
16%grid 14 - 17
ALB
Williams
16%grid 13 - 18
OCO
Alpine
12%grid 19 - 19
GAS
Alpine
11%grid 20 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
9%grid 18
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
88%
- grid position+0.89
- driver form (last 5)+0.59
- team form+0.34
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 88.3%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 85.7%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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