driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.261
- brier
- 0.063
- ECE
- 0.219
- field avg
- 51%
- spread
- 84
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
93%grid 5 - 02
HAM
Mercedes
91%grid 3 - 03
NOR
McLaren
91%grid 1 - 04
VER
Red Bull Racing
86%grid 2 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
83%grid 9 - 06
RUS
Mercedes
78%grid 4 - 07
SAI
Ferrari
76%grid 10 - 08
PER
Red Bull Racing
74%grid 13 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
67%grid 7 - 10
HUL
Haas F1 Team
51%grid 6 - 11
ALB
Williams
45%grid 11 - 12
COL
Williams
44%grid 12 - 13
STR
Aston Martin
29%grid 17 - 14
TSU
RB
23%grid 8 - 15
RIC
RB
20%grid 16 - 16
MAG
Haas F1 Team
19%grid 14 - 17
GAS
Alpine
14%grid 18 - 18
OCO
Alpine
13%grid 15 - 19
BOT
Kick Sauber
11%grid 19 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
9%grid 20
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
93%
- team form+0.78
- grid position+0.76
- driver form (last 5)+0.66
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 93.4%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 92.2%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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