driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.639
- brier
- 0.216
- ECE
- 0.237
- field avg
- 47%
- spread
- 84
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
91%grid 2 - 02
VER
Red Bull Racing
89%grid 1 - 03
SAI
Ferrari
86%grid 4 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
85%grid 3 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
81%grid 6 - 06
HAM
Mercedes
78%grid 5 - 07
PIA
McLaren
77%grid 7 - 08
PER
Red Bull Racing
69%grid 8 - 09
RIC
RB
52%grid 11 - 10
OCO
Alpine
45%grid 10 - 11
ALO
Aston Martin
34%grid 15 - 12
GAS
Alpine
30%grid 13 - 13
STR
Aston Martin
30%grid 17 - 14
TSU
RB
30%grid 14 - 15
HUL
Haas F1 Team
22%grid 9 - 16
MAG
Haas F1 Team
15%grid 12 - 17
BOT
Kick Sauber
10%grid 18 - 18
ALB
Williams
8%grid 16 - 19
SAR
Williams
8%grid 19 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
7%grid 20
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
91%
- grid position+0.95
- driver form (last 5)+0.58
- team form+0.49
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 91.4%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 84.2%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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