driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.356
- brier
- 0.106
- ECE
- 0.114
- field avg
- 48%
- spread
- 85
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
93%grid 3 - 02
LEC
Ferrari
89%grid 4 - 03
SAI
Ferrari
85%grid 1 - 04
VER
Red Bull Racing
82%grid 2 - 05
HAM
Mercedes
82%grid 6 - 06
RUS
Mercedes
81%grid 5 - 07
PIA
McLaren
68%grid 17 - 08
MAG
Haas F1 Team
61%grid 7 - 09
ALB
Williams
61%grid 9 - 10
PER
Red Bull Racing
45%grid 18 - 11
HUL
Haas F1 Team
44%grid 10 - 12
ALO
Aston Martin
35%grid 13 - 13
GAS
Alpine
29%grid 8 - 14
STR
Aston Martin
29%grid 14 - 15
COL
Williams
21%grid 16 - 16
TSU
RB
19%grid 11 - 17
LAW
RB
16%grid 12 - 18
BOT
Kick Sauber
11%grid 15 - 19
OCO
Alpine
9%grid 20 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
7%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
93%
- grid position+0.97
- team form+0.66
- driver form (last 5)+0.61
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 92.9%.
Strongest team average: Ferrari 86.7%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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