driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.325
- brier
- 0.092
- ECE
- 0.113
- field avg
- 48%
- spread
- 83
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
94%grid 2 - 02
NOR
McLaren
93%grid 1 - 03
VER
Red Bull Racing
89%grid 7 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
88%grid 3 - 05
HAM
Mercedes
86%grid 6 - 06
SAI
Ferrari
85%grid 5 - 07
LEC
Ferrari
81%grid 4 - 08
PER
Red Bull Racing
79%grid 8 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
44%grid 11 - 10
RIC
RB
37%grid 12 - 11
ALB
Williams
35%grid 9 - 12
HUL
Haas F1 Team
26%grid 10 - 13
GAS
Alpine
20%grid 14 - 14
OCO
Alpine
18%grid 15 - 15
STR
Aston Martin
16%grid 17 - 16
MAG
Haas F1 Team
16%grid 13 - 17
BOT
Kick Sauber
15%grid 19 - 18
TSU
RB
11%grid 16 - 19
COL
Williams
11%grid 18 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
11%grid 20
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
94%
- grid position+0.94
- team form+0.84
- driver form (last 5)+0.64
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 93.7%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 93.6%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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