driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.326
- brier
- 0.094
- ECE
- 0.154
- field avg
- 52%
- spread
- 86
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
95%grid 1 - 02
PIA
McLaren
95%grid 2 - 03
VER
Red Bull Racing
91%grid 7 - 04
HAM
Mercedes
89%grid 6 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
88%grid 4 - 06
SAI
Ferrari
88%grid 5 - 07
RUS
Mercedes
82%grid 3 - 08
PER
Red Bull Racing
70%grid 8 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
43%grid 11 - 10
COL
Williams
43%grid 18 - 11
ALB
Williams
37%grid 9 - 12
STR
Aston Martin
34%grid 17 - 13
RIC
RB
33%grid 12 - 14
HUL
Haas F1 Team
33%grid 10 - 15
TSU
RB
31%grid 16 - 16
GAS
Alpine
27%grid 14 - 17
OCO
Alpine
23%grid 15 - 18
BOT
Kick Sauber
16%grid 19 - 19
MAG
Haas F1 Team
14%grid 13 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
9%grid 20
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
95%
- team form+1.01
- Q3 appearance rate+1.01
- finish pattern+0.41
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 95.1%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 95.0%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)