driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.910
- brier
- 0.327
- ECE
- 0.328
- field avg
- 52%
- spread
- 85
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
SAI
Ferrari
94%grid 20 - 02
NOR
McLaren
91%grid 1 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
91%grid 6 - 04
VER
Red Bull Racing
90%grid 17 - 05
PIA
McLaren
89%grid 8 - 06
RUS
Mercedes
86%grid 2 - 07
HAM
Mercedes
77%grid 14 - 08
PER
Red Bull Racing
65%grid 12 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
55%grid 9 - 10
BEA
Haas F1 Team
51%grid 15 - 11
HUL
Haas F1 Team
49%grid 18 - 12
ALB
Williams
31%grid 7 - 13
GAS
Alpine
30%grid 13 - 14
STR
Aston Martin
28%grid 10 - 15
COL
Williams
28%grid 16 - 16
TSU
RB
23%grid 3 - 17
OCO
Alpine
20%grid 4 - 18
LAW
RB
19%grid 5 - 19
BOT
Kick Sauber
15%grid 11 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
9%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
SAI
Ferrari
Probability
94%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.01
- team form+0.90
- finish pattern+0.38
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on SAI (Ferrari) at 94.3%.
Strongest team average: Ferrari 92.9%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)