driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.659
- brier
- 0.222
- ECE
- 0.292
- field avg
- 48%
- spread
- 86
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
94%grid 1 - 02
VER
Red Bull Racing
94%grid 19 - 03
PIA
McLaren
92%grid 4 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
91%grid 6 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
85%grid 3 - 06
ANT
Mercedes
76%grid 2 - 07
HAM
Ferrari
68%grid 13 - 08
ALO
Aston Martin
51%grid 11 - 09
HAD
Racing Bulls
48%grid 5 - 10
BEA
Haas F1 Team
43%grid 8 - 11
LAW
Racing Bulls
40%grid 7 - 12
TSU
Red Bull Racing
35%grid 17 - 13
SAI
Williams
29%grid 15 - 14
BOR
Kick Sauber
27%grid 18 - 15
STR
Aston Martin
21%grid 14 - 16
OCO
Haas F1 Team
17%grid 20 - 17
GAS
Alpine
17%grid 9 - 18
HUL
Kick Sauber
15%grid 10 - 19
ALB
Williams
15%grid 12 - 20
COL
Alpine
8%grid 16
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
94%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.05
- team form+0.56
- finish pattern+0.56
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 94.3%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 93.3%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)