driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.490
- brier
- 0.166
- ECE
- 0.157
- field avg
- 52%
- spread
- 80
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
96%grid 9 - 02
NOR
McLaren
94%grid 7 - 03
VER
Red Bull Racing
92%grid 1 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
87%grid 5 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
72%grid 10 - 06
HAM
Ferrari
69%grid 12 - 07
ALO
Aston Martin
67%grid 11 - 08
HAD
Racing Bulls
65%grid 8 - 09
ANT
Mercedes
55%grid 4 - 10
LAW
Racing Bulls
50%grid 3 - 11
ALB
Williams
47%grid 19 - 12
BOR
Kick Sauber
43%grid 13 - 13
TSU
Red Bull Racing
33%grid 6 - 14
STR
Aston Martin
32%grid 14 - 15
SAI
Williams
28%grid 2 - 16
GAS
Alpine
26%grid 18 - 17
BEA
Haas F1 Team
23%grid 15 - 18
OCO
Haas F1 Team
22%grid 20 - 19
HUL
Kick Sauber
16%grid 17 - 20
COL
Alpine
16%grid 16
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
96%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.05
- team form+0.67
- finish pattern+0.56
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 95.8%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 94.9%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)