driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.571
- brier
- 0.200
- ECE
- 0.168
- field avg
- 50%
- spread
- 84
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
97%grid 2 - 02
NOR
McLaren
97%grid 3 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
88%grid 1 - 04
HAM
Ferrari
83%grid 12 - 05
RUS
Mercedes
82%grid 4 - 06
VER
Red Bull Racing
80%grid 8 - 07
ANT
Mercedes
52%grid 15 - 08
GAS
Alpine
48%grid 16 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
47%grid 5 - 10
ALB
Williams
44%grid 19 - 11
HAD
Racing Bulls
36%grid 10 - 12
LAW
Racing Bulls
34%grid 9 - 13
BOR
Kick Sauber
33%grid 7 - 14
TSU
Red Bull Racing
32%grid 20 - 15
SAI
Williams
29%grid 13 - 16
HUL
Kick Sauber
27%grid 18 - 17
STR
Aston Martin
25%grid 6 - 18
BEA
Haas F1 Team
24%grid 11 - 19
OCO
Haas F1 Team
22%grid 17 - 20
COL
Alpine
13%grid 14
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
97%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.05
- team form+0.93
- finish pattern+0.58
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 97.1%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 97.1%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)