driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.396
- brier
- 0.125
- ECE
- 0.184
- field avg
- 51%
- spread
- 81
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
94%grid 1 - 02
RUS
Mercedes
94%grid 4 - 03
NOR
McLaren
92%grid 2 - 04
PIA
McLaren
89%grid 6 - 05
ANT
Mercedes
79%grid 7 - 06
LEC
Ferrari
79%grid 3 - 07
HAM
Ferrari
72%grid 5 - 08
HAD
Racing Bulls
61%grid 20 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
56%grid 10 - 10
TSU
Red Bull Racing
52%grid 13 - 11
LAW
Racing Bulls
47%grid 12 - 12
SAI
Williams
34%grid 9 - 13
BOR
Kick Sauber
33%grid 16 - 14
ALB
Williams
31%grid 18 - 15
BEA
Haas F1 Team
30%grid 8 - 16
GAS
Alpine
21%grid 14 - 17
STR
Aston Martin
17%grid 19 - 18
OCO
Haas F1 Team
14%grid 17 - 19
HUL
Kick Sauber
14%grid 11 - 20
COL
Alpine
14%grid 15
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
94%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.05
- finish pattern+0.60
- team form+0.43
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 94.5%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 90.4%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)