driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.638
- brier
- 0.230
- ECE
- 0.224
- field avg
- 50%
- spread
- 83
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
95%grid 2 - 02
NOR
McLaren
94%grid 1 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
86%grid 6 - 04
LEC
Ferrari
85%grid 3 - 05
VER
Red Bull Racing
84%grid 4 - 06
HAM
Ferrari
82%grid 18 - 07
ANT
Mercedes
71%grid 19 - 08
ALO
Aston Martin
57%grid 20 - 09
GAS
Alpine
46%grid 13 - 10
HAD
Racing Bulls
38%grid 8 - 11
ALB
Williams
37%grid 5 - 12
SAI
Williams
32%grid 17 - 13
OCO
Haas F1 Team
29%grid 11 - 14
HUL
Kick Sauber
28%grid 14 - 15
TSU
Red Bull Racing
27%grid 7 - 16
BOR
Kick Sauber
25%grid 10 - 17
LAW
Racing Bulls
25%grid 9 - 18
BEA
Haas F1 Team
22%grid 12 - 19
STR
Aston Martin
22%grid 16 - 20
COL
Alpine
12%grid 15
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
95%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.05
- team form+0.64
- finish pattern+0.51
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 94.9%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 94.2%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)