driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.259
- brier
- 0.084
- ECE
- 0.105
- field avg
- 34%
- spread
- 99
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
100%grid 2 - 02
NOR
McLaren
99%grid 1 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
96%grid 3 - 04
VER
Red Bull Racing
94%grid 4 - 05
OCO
Haas F1 Team
59%grid 11 - 06
SAI
Williams
44%grid 17 - 07
BEA
Haas F1 Team
34%grid 12 - 08
GAS
Alpine
34%grid 13 - 09
HAD
Racing Bulls
30%grid 8 - 10
RUS
Mercedes
27%grid 6 - 11
BOR
Kick Sauber
20%grid 10 - 12
LAW
Racing Bulls
14%grid 9 - 13
TSU
Red Bull Racing
9%grid 7 - 14
HAM
Ferrari
7%grid 18 - 15
ALO
Aston Martin
6%grid 20 - 16
STR
Aston Martin
3%grid 16 - 17
HUL
Kick Sauber
3%grid 14 - 18
ALB
Williams
2%grid 5 - 19
ANT
Mercedes
2%grid 19 - 20
COL
Alpine
0%grid 15
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
100%
- sprint grid+3.66
- driver form (last 5)+2.10
- team form+1.07
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 99.6%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 99.5%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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