driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.459
- brier
- 0.129
- ECE
- 0.174
- field avg
- 38%
- spread
- 99
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
99%grid 1 - 02
VER
Red Bull Racing
98%grid 19 - 03
PIA
McLaren
97%grid 4 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
96%grid 6 - 05
ANT
Mercedes
95%grid 2 - 06
LEC
Ferrari
78%grid 3 - 07
ALO
Aston Martin
60%grid 11 - 08
HAM
Ferrari
42%grid 13 - 09
STR
Aston Martin
35%grid 14 - 10
HAD
Racing Bulls
20%grid 5 - 11
HUL
Kick Sauber
14%grid 10 - 12
ALB
Williams
7%grid 12 - 13
GAS
Alpine
5%grid 9 - 14
BOR
Kick Sauber
4%grid 18 - 15
BEA
Haas F1 Team
4%grid 8 - 16
TSU
Red Bull Racing
2%grid 17 - 17
LAW
Racing Bulls
2%grid 7 - 18
COL
Alpine
1%grid 16 - 19
OCO
Haas F1 Team
1%grid 20 - 20
SAI
Williams
1%grid 15
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
99%
- sprint grid+3.66
- driver form (last 5)+1.90
- team form+0.94
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 99.4%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 98.1%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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