driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.947
- brier
- 0.243
- ECE
- 0.291
- field avg
- 38%
- spread
- 99
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
99%grid 4 - 02
NOR
McLaren
99%grid 2 - 03
VER
Red Bull Racing
98%grid 1 - 04
ANT
Mercedes
97%grid 3 - 05
RUS
Mercedes
95%grid 5 - 06
LEC
Ferrari
86%grid 8 - 07
HAM
Ferrari
71%grid 12 - 08
ALB
Williams
39%grid 7 - 09
HAD
Racing Bulls
22%grid 11 - 10
ALO
Aston Martin
14%grid 17 - 11
OCO
Haas F1 Team
11%grid 9 - 12
HUL
Kick Sauber
11%grid 16 - 13
GAS
Alpine
5%grid 20 - 14
LAW
Racing Bulls
4%grid 15 - 15
SAI
Williams
3%grid 6 - 16
STR
Aston Martin
2%grid 18 - 17
DOO
Alpine
1%grid 14 - 18
TSU
Red Bull Racing
1%grid 10 - 19
BOR
Kick Sauber
1%grid 13 - 20
BEA
Haas F1 Team
1%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
99%
- sprint grid+3.27
- driver form (last 5)+2.24
- team form+1.26
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 99.4%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 99.3%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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