driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.414
- brier
- 0.129
- ECE
- 0.216
- field avg
- 50%
- spread
- 81
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
93%grid 2 - 02
VER
Red Bull Racing
92%grid 1 - 03
PIA
McLaren
92%grid 4 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
91%grid 5 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
89%grid 8 - 06
HAM
Ferrari
81%grid 12 - 07
ANT
Mercedes
79%grid 3 - 08
SAI
Williams
60%grid 6 - 09
TSU
Red Bull Racing
58%grid 10 - 10
ALB
Williams
48%grid 7 - 11
GAS
Alpine
39%grid 20 - 12
HAD
Racing Bulls
34%grid 11 - 13
ALO
Aston Martin
32%grid 17 - 14
BEA
Haas F1 Team
24%grid 19 - 15
HUL
Kick Sauber
21%grid 16 - 16
LAW
Racing Bulls
20%grid 15 - 17
OCO
Haas F1 Team
18%grid 9 - 18
DOO
Alpine
14%grid 14 - 19
BOR
Kick Sauber
12%grid 13 - 20
STR
Aston Martin
12%grid 18
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
93%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.05
- team form+0.75
- finish pattern+0.49
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 93.1%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 92.3%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)