driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.463
- brier
- 0.152
- ECE
- 0.208
- field avg
- 52%
- spread
- 78
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
95%grid 3 - 02
NOR
McLaren
93%grid 1 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
91%grid 2 - 04
VER
Red Bull Racing
89%grid 7 - 05
RUS
Mercedes
88%grid 5 - 06
HAM
Ferrari
83%grid 4 - 07
ANT
Mercedes
67%grid 9 - 08
HAD
Racing Bulls
57%grid 13 - 09
ALB
Williams
47%grid 12 - 10
SAI
Williams
44%grid 19 - 11
TSU
Red Bull Racing
41%grid 18 - 12
ALO
Aston Martin
39%grid 11 - 13
GAS
Alpine
39%grid 10 - 14
OCO
Haas F1 Team
30%grid 17 - 15
LAW
Racing Bulls
26%grid 6 - 16
HUL
Kick Sauber
25%grid 20 - 17
BEA
Haas F1 Team
23%grid 15 - 18
BOR
Kick Sauber
21%grid 8 - 19
STR
Aston Martin
20%grid 16 - 20
COL
Alpine
17%grid 14
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
95%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.05
- team form+0.61
- finish pattern+0.51
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 94.9%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 94.0%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)