driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.424
- brier
- 0.140
- ECE
- 0.246
- field avg
- 51%
- spread
- 83
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
96%grid 1 - 02
NOR
McLaren
96%grid 2 - 03
VER
Red Bull Racing
91%grid 3 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
84%grid 4 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
83%grid 7 - 06
HAM
Ferrari
79%grid 5 - 07
SAI
Williams
66%grid 17 - 08
ALB
Williams
56%grid 11 - 09
ANT
Mercedes
52%grid 6 - 10
HAD
Racing Bulls
51%grid 9 - 11
TSU
Red Bull Racing
49%grid 19 - 12
GAS
Alpine
37%grid 8 - 13
ALO
Aston Martin
30%grid 10 - 14
OCO
Haas F1 Team
25%grid 16 - 15
LAW
Racing Bulls
22%grid 13 - 16
HUL
Kick Sauber
17%grid 15 - 17
BEA
Haas F1 Team
15%grid 14 - 18
COL
Alpine
15%grid 18 - 19
BOR
Kick Sauber
14%grid 12
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
96%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.05
- team form+0.81
- finish pattern+0.54
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 96.2%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 95.9%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)