driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.308
- brier
- 0.084
- ECE
- 0.202
- field avg
- 49%
- spread
- 85
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
96%grid 10 - 02
PIA
McLaren
93%grid 2 - 03
VER
Red Bull Racing
90%grid 1 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
88%grid 3 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
83%grid 4 - 06
ANT
Mercedes
77%grid 5 - 07
HAM
Ferrari
68%grid 7 - 08
SAI
Williams
56%grid 6 - 09
TSU
Red Bull Racing
48%grid 8 - 10
ALB
Williams
46%grid 11 - 11
GAS
Alpine
45%grid 9 - 12
HAD
Racing Bulls
33%grid 14 - 13
BEA
Haas F1 Team
32%grid 15 - 14
ALO
Aston Martin
30%grid 13 - 15
OCO
Haas F1 Team
27%grid 19 - 16
HUL
Kick Sauber
22%grid 18 - 17
LAW
Racing Bulls
15%grid 12 - 18
DOO
Alpine
13%grid 17 - 19
BOR
Kick Sauber
12%grid 20 - 20
STR
Aston Martin
11%grid 16
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
96%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.05
- team form+0.81
- finish pattern+0.54
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 95.9%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 94.5%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)