driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.525
- brier
- 0.172
- ECE
- 0.158
- field avg
- 52%
- spread
- 67
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
85%grid 1 - 02
RUS
Mercedes
82%grid 3 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
79%grid 4 - 04
PIA
McLaren
78%grid 2 - 05
GAS
Alpine
76%grid 9 - 06
BEA
Haas F1 Team
74%grid 15 - 07
LAW
Racing Bulls
64%grid 12 - 08
SAI
Williams
63%grid 6 - 09
HUL
Kick Sauber
62%grid 18 - 10
ALO
Aston Martin
59%grid 13 - 11
STR
Aston Martin
43%grid 16 - 12
HAD
Racing Bulls
41%grid 14 - 13
ALB
Williams
40%grid 11 - 14
BOR
Kick Sauber
34%grid 20 - 15
OCO
Haas F1 Team
34%grid 19 - 16
ANT
Mercedes
33%grid 5 - 17
HAM
Ferrari
31%grid 7 - 18
NOR
McLaren
26%grid 10 - 19
DOO
Alpine
26%grid 17 - 20
TSU
Red Bull Racing
18%grid 8
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
85%
- vs teammate grid+0.92
- vs teammate quali+0.46
- driver form (last 5)+0.22
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 85.1%.
Strongest team average: Mercedes 57.4%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectHead-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race