driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.376
- brier
- 0.104
- ECE
- 0.304
- field avg
- 49%
- spread
- 72
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
87%grid 1 - 02
ALO
Aston Martin
76%grid 12 - 03
GAS
Alpine
74%grid 11 - 04
BEA
Haas F1 Team
72%grid 10 - 05
RUS
Mercedes
69%grid 5 - 06
LEC
Ferrari
68%grid 4 - 07
ALB
Williams
67%grid 9 - 08
HAD
Racing Bulls
61%grid 7 - 09
NOR
McLaren
55%grid 2 - 10
HUL
Kick Sauber
51%grid 16 - 11
PIA
McLaren
48%grid 3 - 12
BOR
Kick Sauber
48%grid 17 - 13
ANT
Mercedes
34%grid 6 - 14
HAM
Ferrari
32%grid 8 - 15
LAW
Racing Bulls
29%grid 13 - 16
SAI
Williams
27%grid 15 - 17
DOO
Alpine
24%grid 19 - 18
STR
Aston Martin
18%grid 20 - 19
TSU
Red Bull Racing
15%grid 14 - 20
OCO
Haas F1 Team
15%grid 18
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
87%
- vs teammate grid+0.97
- vs teammate quali+0.51
- driver form (last 5)+0.23
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 87.2%.
Strongest team average: Mercedes 51.7%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectHead-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race