driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.682
- brier
- 0.242
- ECE
- 0.214
- field avg
- 49%
- spread
- 57
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
81%grid 1 - 02
BOT
Kick Sauber
74%grid 13 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
70%grid 7 - 04
TSU
RB
67%grid 8 - 05
OCO
Alpine
67%grid 15 - 06
NOR
McLaren
62%grid 3 - 07
MAG
Haas F1 Team
57%grid 14 - 08
SAI
Ferrari
54%grid 2 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
52%grid 10 - 10
STR
Aston Martin
44%grid 9 - 11
GAS
Alpine
42%grid 17 - 12
HUL
Haas F1 Team
39%grid 16 - 13
PIA
McLaren
36%grid 5 - 14
HAM
Mercedes
35%grid 11 - 15
LEC
Ferrari
34%grid 4 - 16
PER
Red Bull Racing
27%grid 6 - 17
RIC
RB
26%grid 18 - 18
ZHO
Kick Sauber
24%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
81%
- vs teammate grid+0.79
- finish pattern+0.20
- driver form (last 5)+0.17
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 80.6%.
Strongest team average: Alpine 54.0%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectHead-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race