driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.400
- brier
- 0.122
- ECE
- 0.066
- field avg
- 53%
- spread
- 79
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
96%grid 1 - 02
PER
Red Bull Racing
92%grid 6 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
91%grid 4 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
85%grid 7 - 05
SAI
Ferrari
80%grid 2 - 06
PIA
McLaren
77%grid 5 - 07
HAM
Mercedes
75%grid 11 - 08
ALO
Aston Martin
75%grid 10 - 09
NOR
McLaren
74%grid 3 - 10
STR
Aston Martin
37%grid 9 - 11
OCO
Alpine
36%grid 15 - 12
GAS
Alpine
32%grid 17 - 13
TSU
RB
26%grid 8 - 14
HUL
Haas F1 Team
25%grid 16 - 15
RIC
RB
25%grid 18 - 16
BOT
Kick Sauber
25%grid 13 - 17
ALB
Williams
23%grid 12 - 18
MAG
Haas F1 Team
21%grid 14 - 19
ZHO
Kick Sauber
17%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
96%
- team form+1.17
- Q3 appearance rate+0.80
- finish pattern+0.50
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 96.2%.
Strongest team average: Red Bull Racing 94.0%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)