driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.437
- brier
- 0.141
- ECE
- 0.198
- field avg
- 50%
- spread
- 84
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
LEC
Ferrari
93%grid 4 - 02
SAI
Ferrari
89%grid 2 - 03
VER
Red Bull Racing
88%grid 5 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
85%grid 1 - 05
NOR
McLaren
85%grid 6 - 06
PIA
McLaren
85%grid 8 - 07
HAM
Mercedes
63%grid 10 - 08
PER
Red Bull Racing
59%grid 15 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
46%grid 16 - 10
GAS
Alpine
41%grid 3 - 11
OCO
Alpine
40%grid 11 - 12
ALB
Williams
36%grid 17 - 13
STR
Aston Martin
31%grid 18 - 14
LAW
RB
29%grid 14 - 15
MAG
Haas F1 Team
27%grid 12 - 16
HUL
Haas F1 Team
27%grid 9 - 17
TSU
RB
26%grid 7 - 18
COL
Williams
19%grid 20 - 19
BOT
Kick Sauber
12%grid 19 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
9%grid 13
Top driver · factor breakdown
LEC
Ferrari
Probability
93%
- team form+0.82
- Q3 appearance rate+0.80
- finish pattern+0.39
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on LEC (Ferrari) at 93.3%.
Strongest team average: Ferrari 91.2%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)