driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.518
- brier
- 0.170
- ECE
- 0.264
- field avg
- 50%
- spread
- 80
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
93%grid 3 - 02
RUS
Mercedes
92%grid 17 - 03
PIA
McLaren
92%grid 2 - 04
HAM
Mercedes
92%grid 5 - 05
NOR
McLaren
91%grid 1 - 06
SAI
Ferrari
84%grid 4 - 07
LEC
Ferrari
76%grid 6 - 08
PER
Red Bull Racing
59%grid 16 - 09
HUL
Haas F1 Team
50%grid 11 - 10
ALO
Aston Martin
47%grid 7 - 11
TSU
RB
37%grid 10 - 12
STR
Aston Martin
35%grid 8 - 13
RIC
RB
29%grid 9 - 14
ALB
Williams
28%grid 13 - 15
OCO
Alpine
19%grid 19 - 16
MAG
Haas F1 Team
17%grid 15 - 17
GAS
Alpine
16%grid 20 - 18
BOT
Kick Sauber
16%grid 12 - 19
ZHO
Kick Sauber
14%grid 18 - 20
SAR
Williams
13%grid 14
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
93%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.01
- team form+0.42
- finish pattern+0.41
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 93.0%.
Strongest team average: Mercedes 92.1%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)