driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.539
- brier
- 0.168
- ECE
- 0.212
- field avg
- 50%
- spread
- 81
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
96%grid 1 - 02
PER
Red Bull Racing
95%grid 11 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
93%grid 3 - 04
NOR
McLaren
89%grid 2 - 05
PIA
McLaren
84%grid 5 - 06
SAI
Ferrari
83%grid 4 - 07
RUS
Mercedes
83%grid 6 - 08
HAM
Mercedes
61%grid 8 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
58%grid 20 - 10
TSU
RB
45%grid 7 - 11
HUL
Haas F1 Team
34%grid 10 - 12
STR
Aston Martin
32%grid 13 - 13
BOT
Kick Sauber
28%grid 16 - 14
GAS
Alpine
27%grid 15 - 15
OCO
Alpine
20%grid 12 - 16
MAG
Haas F1 Team
18%grid 18 - 17
ALB
Williams
17%grid 14 - 18
RIC
RB
16%grid 9 - 19
SAR
Williams
16%grid 19 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
15%grid 17
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
96%
- team form+1.08
- Q3 appearance rate+1.01
- finish pattern+0.48
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 96.3%.
Strongest team average: Red Bull Racing 95.4%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)