driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.737
- brier
- 0.266
- ECE
- 0.368
- field avg
- 51%
- spread
- 84
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
97%grid 1 - 02
NOR
McLaren
97%grid 4 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
92%grid 3 - 04
VER
Red Bull Racing
91%grid 2 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
88%grid 11 - 06
ANT
Mercedes
83%grid 13 - 07
HAM
Ferrari
75%grid 12 - 08
TSU
Red Bull Racing
63%grid 20 - 09
SAI
Williams
59%grid 6 - 10
ALB
Williams
42%grid 7 - 11
GAS
Alpine
42%grid 10 - 12
HAD
Racing Bulls
38%grid 9 - 13
OCO
Haas F1 Team
26%grid 18 - 14
BEA
Haas F1 Team
22%grid 19 - 15
HUL
Kick Sauber
20%grid 17 - 16
LAW
Racing Bulls
20%grid 15 - 17
ALO
Aston Martin
20%grid 5 - 18
COL
Alpine
18%grid 16 - 19
STR
Aston Martin
14%grid 8 - 20
BOR
Kick Sauber
13%grid 14
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
97%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.05
- team form+0.85
- finish pattern+0.62
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 97.2%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 96.9%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)